Ο Πούτιν βρίσκεται κοντά στο να κλείσει τον εαυτό του στη Μαύρη Θάλασσα με την πλήρη δύναμη του ΝΑΤΟ να στέκεται πίσω από ένα τουρκικό κλείσιμο των Στενών του Βοσπόρου και των Δαρδανελίων σύμφωνα με τη Σύμβαση του Μοντρέ του 1936. Οι «στρατιωτικές» διατάξεις της Σύμβασης του Μοντρέ δεν εφαρμόστηκαν ποτέ πραγματικά πλήρως κατά τη διάρκεια του Β’ Παγκοσμίου Πολέμου, διότι η Τουρκία ήταν πάντα τεχνικά ουδέτερη.
Με την κρίσιμη απώλεια του Ιράκ σε όφελος της Μεγάλης Βρετανίας στην αποτυχημένη απόπειρα πραξικοπήματος της ναζιστικής Χρυσής Πλατείας το Μάιο του 1941, και την συνακόλουθη εισβολή και κατοχή του Ιράκ από τον Τσώρτσιλ, ο Χίτλερ δεν είχε ποτέ την ευκαιρία να δώσει διαταγή μάχης εναντίον της Τουρκίας.
Ωστόσο, με τον Πούτιν να κλιμακώνει τον πόλεμο λέξεων του κατά της Τουρκίας, η Τουρκία μπορεί κάλλιστα να επικαλεστεί τα άρθρα 20 ή 21 της Σύμβασης του Μοντρέ, που θα σήμαινε ότι η Τουρκία θα μπορούσε να διακόπτει τη κίνηση κάθε ρωσικού πολεμικού πλοίου μέσα από τα Στενά, αποδυναμώνοντας τις προσπάθειες του Πούτιν στο συριακό πόλεμο του. Ως εκ τούτου, ο Πούτιν θα ήταν καλό να αμβλύνει προς τα κάτω τη ρητορική του, και να αρχίσει την καταπολέμηση του ισλαμικού κράτους και όχι των ανταρτών που υποστηρίζονται από τη Δύση, τη Τουρκία, και τη Σαουδική Αραβία.
Πρώτον, οι βασικές διατάξεις της Σύμβασης του Montreux είναι οι διατάξεις 20 και 21 για εν καιρώ πολέμου, όπου η Τουρκία είναι η «εμπόλεμη»:
“Article 20.
In time of war, Turkey being belligerent, the provisions of Articles 10 to 18 shall not be applicable; the passage of warships shall be left entirely to the discretion of the Turkish Government.
Article 21.
Should Turkey consider herself to be threatened with imminent danger of war she shall have the right to apply the provisions of Article 20 of the present Convention. . . . .”
Turkey’s hand is much stronger than Putin’s words.
“Articles 10 to 18” are the articles that allow for various states including Russia to transit military ships through the straits. In short, if Turkey invokes either Article 20 or Article 21, Russia is legally blocked from moving any military ship through the Straits. That is unless the Russians attack the Straits, and force a transit by military force, a clear act of war against Turkey. By Turkey “non-violently” invoking Montreux Article 20 or 21, Turkey could force Russia to act violently against Turkey. Turkey could “non-aggressively” force Russia to the “aggressor.”The Montreux “Time of War” Article 20 is an absolute provision in that if Turkey in an actual “belligerent” state of war with Russia, it has plenipotentiary rights to shut Russian military naval transit down. This would effectively cripple Russia’s entire Syrian adventure, and bring an immediate rout against Assad, and the Russian expeditionary force in Syria.
However, the more likely provision to be first triggered by Turkey is Montreux Article 21 that says: “Should Turkey consider herself threatened with imminent danger of war”. Article 21 is not a plenipotentiary absolute provision, as if over two-thirds of the UN Security Counsel votes against Turkey’s “fears” of “imminent danger,” the Straits could be re-opened. However, the Straits would be closed to Russian Naval transit during the period before and up to any UN vote possibly taking place. And, during that pre-vote period, Assad’s forces would be effectively routed. And with the mere “threat of imminent danger,” Turkey could invoke Article 21.
Critically, the Montreux Convention was entered into in 1936, and Turkey entered into NATO in 1952 when Greece also acceded to the NATO defensive ring. Therefore, Turkey’s Montreux Convention sovereign rights were an inextricable element of Turkey’s territorial integrity that NATO is sworn to defend under the mutual defense treaty. Consequently, if Russia makes any attempts to militarily bust through the Bosphorus Straits and the Dardenelles, it would clearly be committing an act of war against Turkey that NATO would be called upon, and obligated, to defend.
Russia’s Syrian adventure rests on its naval supply line through the Bosphorus Straits and the Dardenelles.Turkey can and would shut that line down without firing a shot. Putin should reassess his short-term and long-term military and political goals before he begins to threaten the country that controls his military access to the mini-war in Syria.
Turkey’s hand is much stronger than Putin’s words. Let’s all hope the reality of a Bosphorus Straits/Dardenelles closure by Turkey brings Putin back to the reality that he is supporting the two greatest state sponsors of terror –Iran and Syria- in a war that is supposedly being waged against terrorists.
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Article.aspx/17978#.VlxF4I9OLal
Turkey has begun a defacto blockade of Russian naval vessels, preventing transit through the Dardanelles and the Strait of Bosporus, between the Black Sea and Mediterranean.
According to the AIS tracking system for the movement of maritime vessels, only Turkish vessels are moving along the Bosphorus, and in the Dardanelles there is no movement of any shipping at all.
At the same time, both from the Black Sea, and from the Mediterranean Sea, there is a small cluster of ships under the Russian flag, just sitting and waiting. The image below shows the situation with the ships using the GPS transponder onboard each vessel:
In addition, shipping inside the Black Sea from Novorossiisk and Sevastopol in the direction of the Bosphorus, no Russian vessels are moving. This indirectly confirms the a CNN statement that Turkey may have blocked the movement of Russian ships on the Dardanelles and the Strait of Bosporus.
There is a Treaty specifically covering the use of these waterways by nations of the world. That Treaty is the Montreux Convention Regarding the Regime of the Straits.
It is a 1936 agreement that gives Turkey control over the Bosporus Straits and the Dardanellesand regulates the transit of naval warships. The Convention gives Turkey full control over the Straits and guarantees the free passage of civilian vessels in peacetime. It restricts the passage of naval ships not belonging to Black Sea states. The terms of the convention have been the source of controversy over the years, most notably concerning the Soviet Union's military access to the Mediterranean Sea.
Signed on 20 July 1936 at the Montreux Palace in Switzerland, it permitted Turkey to remilitarise the Straits. It went into effect on 9 November 1936 and was registered in League of Nations Treaty Series on 11 December 1936. It is still in force today, with some amendments.
The Convention consists of 29 Articles, four annexes and one protocol. Articles 2–7 consider the passage of merchant ships. Articles 8–22 consider the passage of war vessels. The key principle of freedom of passage and navigation is stated in articles 1 and 2. Article 1 provides that "The High Contracting Parties recognize and affirm the principle of freedom of passage and navigation by sea in the Straits". Article 2 states that "In time of peace, merchant vessels shall enjoy complete freedom of passage and navigation in the Straits, by day and by night, under any flag with any kind of cargo."
The International Straits Commission was abolished, authorizing the full resumption of Turkish military control over the Straits and the refortification of the Dardanelles. Turkey was authorized to close the Straits to all foreign warships in wartime or when it was threatened by aggression; additionally, it was authorized to refuse transit from merchant ships belonging to countries at war with Turkey.
Turkey has now invoked its power, but has not publicly stated whether they are blocking Russian Naval Vessels because Turkey is "threatened with aggression" or whether Turkey considers itself to be "at war." Last week, Turkey shot down a Russian military jet over Syria and this has caused a major rift between the two nations.
This latest development of blockading Russian naval vessels is a massive and terrifyingly dangerous development. Blockading Russia and preventing its Black Sea fleet from traveling to the rest of the world, or back to its home port, is something that will not sit well with the Russians.
Earlier today, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the deployment of 150,000 Russian troops and equipment into Syria, but then ALSO ordered the deployment of 7,000 additional Russian Troops, tanks, rocket launchers and artillery, to the Russian Border of Turkey at Armenia, with orders to be "fully combat ready."
It is important to note two things:
1) Turkey is a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as is the United States and most of Europe, AND;
2) Turkey took the first shot at Russia when they intentionally shot down a Russian jet last week.
It is important to remember these facts because, as a NATO member, Turkey can invoke Article 5 of the NATO Treaty which requires all NATO members to come to its defense if Turkey is "attacked." So if Russia decides to fight back against Turkey downing its military jet, the Turks might call NATO and claim they've been "attacked" thereby calling-up NATO forces to go to war against Russia.
It bears remembering, however, that Turkey shot first. Turkey was the nation which "attacked."
Before NATO and the world get dragged into a war between Russia and Turkey, the citizens of the world must be ready to remind our leaders that Turkey Shot First.
Why did the Turks shoot? Because Turkey has been allowing the terrorist group ISIS to sell the oil it has stolen from countries it is conquering. The oil is transported from the wells in countries where ISIS has seized power, is taken by truck to Turkey, and is then sold at cheap prices on the black market.
This black market selling results in over 1 Million dollars per DAY flowing into ISIS to keep it equipped and supplied for its ongoing terrorist activities. Only a fool would think that all this is going on through Turkey, without some Turkish officials having their hands out for money from the illegal oil sales. Put simply, Turkey appears to be in business with ISIS and Russia is harming that by attacking ISIS in Syria.
So Turkey shot down one of the Russian planes that was attacking ISIS. Russia is quite furious; with the Russian President stating the shoot down was "a stab in the back of Russia" and was carried out by "accomplices to terrorism."
It would be shocking if NATO were to defend Turkey under such circumstances because by its actions, Turkey is providing material support to the terrorist group ISIS. For NATO to defend that would make all of us accomplices to terrorism.
Readers can view REAL TIME SHIP INFO at the AIS Maritime web site, to see for yourselves that Russian ships are being held from transit. The web site address is: http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:27/centery:40/zoom:9
https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/587
TURKEY BLOCKADING RUSSIA FROM DARDANELLES; BLACK SEA FLEET COMPLETELY CUT OFF
- Post by U.S.Reporter
- - Nov 29, 2015
Turkey has begun a defacto blockade of Russian naval vessels, preventing transit through the Dardanelles and the Strait of Bosporus, between the Black Sea and Mediterranean.
According to the AIS tracking system for the movement of maritime vessels, only Turkish vessels are moving along the Bosphorus, and in the Dardanelles there is no movement of any shipping at all.
At the same time, both from the Black Sea, and from the Mediterranean Sea, there is a small cluster of ships under the Russian flag, just sitting and waiting. The image below shows the situation with the ships using the GPS transponder onboard each vessel:
In addition, shipping inside the Black Sea from Novorossiisk and Sevastopol in the direction of the Bosphorus, no Russian vessels are moving. This indirectly confirms the a CNN statement that Turkey may have blocked the movement of Russian ships on the Dardanelles and the Strait of Bosporus.
There is a Treaty specifically covering the use of these waterways by nations of the world. That Treaty is the Montreux Convention Regarding the Regime of the Straits.
It is a 1936 agreement that gives Turkey control over the Bosporus Straits and the Dardanellesand regulates the transit of naval warships. The Convention gives Turkey full control over the Straits and guarantees the free passage of civilian vessels in peacetime. It restricts the passage of naval ships not belonging to Black Sea states. The terms of the convention have been the source of controversy over the years, most notably concerning the Soviet Union's military access to the Mediterranean Sea.
Signed on 20 July 1936 at the Montreux Palace in Switzerland, it permitted Turkey to remilitarise the Straits. It went into effect on 9 November 1936 and was registered in League of Nations Treaty Series on 11 December 1936. It is still in force today, with some amendments.
The Convention consists of 29 Articles, four annexes and one protocol. Articles 2–7 consider the passage of merchant ships. Articles 8–22 consider the passage of war vessels. The key principle of freedom of passage and navigation is stated in articles 1 and 2. Article 1 provides that "The High Contracting Parties recognize and affirm the principle of freedom of passage and navigation by sea in the Straits". Article 2 states that "In time of peace, merchant vessels shall enjoy complete freedom of passage and navigation in the Straits, by day and by night, under any flag with any kind of cargo."
The International Straits Commission was abolished, authorizing the full resumption of Turkish military control over the Straits and the refortification of the Dardanelles. Turkey was authorized to close the Straits to all foreign warships in wartime or when it was threatened by aggression; additionally, it was authorized to refuse transit from merchant ships belonging to countries at war with Turkey.
Turkey has now invoked its power, but has not publicly stated whether they are blocking Russian Naval Vessels because Turkey is "threatened with aggression" or whether Turkey considers itself to be "at war." Last week, Turkey shot down a Russian military jet over Syria and this has caused a major rift between the two nations.
This latest development of blockading Russian naval vessels is a massive and terrifyingly dangerous development. Blockading Russia and preventing its Black Sea fleet from traveling to the rest of the world, or back to its home port, is something that will not sit well with the Russians.
Earlier today, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the deployment of 150,000 Russian troops and equipment into Syria, but then ALSO ordered the deployment of 7,000 additional Russian Troops, tanks, rocket launchers and artillery, to the Russian Border of Turkey at Armenia, with orders to be "fully combat ready."
It is important to note two things:
1) Turkey is a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as is the United States and most of Europe, AND;
2) Turkey took the first shot at Russia when they intentionally shot down a Russian jet last week.
It is important to remember these facts because, as a NATO member, Turkey can invoke Article 5 of the NATO Treaty which requires all NATO members to come to its defense if Turkey is "attacked." So if Russia decides to fight back against Turkey downing its military jet, the Turks might call NATO and claim they've been "attacked" thereby calling-up NATO forces to go to war against Russia.
It bears remembering, however, that Turkey shot first. Turkey was the nation which "attacked."
Before NATO and the world get dragged into a war between Russia and Turkey, the citizens of the world must be ready to remind our leaders that Turkey Shot First.
Why did the Turks shoot? Because Turkey has been allowing the terrorist group ISIS to sell the oil it has stolen from countries it is conquering. The oil is transported from the wells in countries where ISIS has seized power, is taken by truck to Turkey, and is then sold at cheap prices on the black market.
This black market selling results in over 1 Million dollars per DAY flowing into ISIS to keep it equipped and supplied for its ongoing terrorist activities. Only a fool would think that all this is going on through Turkey, without some Turkish officials having their hands out for money from the illegal oil sales. Put simply, Turkey appears to be in business with ISIS and Russia is harming that by attacking ISIS in Syria.
So Turkey shot down one of the Russian planes that was attacking ISIS. Russia is quite furious; with the Russian President stating the shoot down was "a stab in the back of Russia" and was carried out by "accomplices to terrorism."
It would be shocking if NATO were to defend Turkey under such circumstances because by its actions, Turkey is providing material support to the terrorist group ISIS. For NATO to defend that would make all of us accomplices to terrorism.
Readers can view REAL TIME SHIP INFO at the AIS Maritime web site, to see for yourselves that Russian ships are being held from transit. The web site address is: http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:27/centery:40/zoom:9
https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/587
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